With 15 games on the schedule tonight, there will be lots of opportunities to make some money. I hope this article can help you all find some good trends and give you some solid players to bet on. I like to focus on games where the player is playing an opposing team that allows a lot of shots, while simultaneously allowing a lot of shots to their respective position. I also put a lot of merit into the player’s shot averages at home vs on the road.

Let’s dive into today’s picks…

Pick #1 – Brent Burns o3.5 Shots (-110 DK)

• He has a hit rate on 3.5 shots of 63%. His home hit rate is 86%
• Burns averages 4.9 shots per game at home vs 3.3 shot per game on the road
• The Coyotes allow the 3rd most shots per game and the 2nd most shots to opposing D

Pick #2 – Noah Dobson o2.5 Shots (-136 BS)

• Dobson’s hit rate on 2.5 shots is 55%. At home, his hit rate is 78% (7 of 9)
• He averages 3.9 shots per game at home vs 2.2 on the road
• The Oilers allow the 5th most shots per game and the 3rd most shots to opposing D

Pick #3 – Owen Tippett o2.5 Shots (-125 BS)

• Tip has a 71% hit rate on o2.5 shots. His hit rate on the road is 71%
• He averages slightly more shots on the road (3.0) vs at home (2.7)
• He has hit 8/L10 games, with two of those misses coming in the past three games

Pick #4 – David Pastrnak o4.5 Shots (-110 DK)

• Pasta has a 68% hit rate on over 4.5 shots
• In a game earlier in the year, Pasta had 8 SOG against the Panthers
• He also scores in 58% of games if you want to bet goal +110

Pick #5 – Dylan Larkin o2.5 Shots (-162 BS)

• He has a 67% hit rate on 2.5 shot props. He is also 67% while at home.
• He averages more shots at home than on the road (3.4 vs 2.8)
• The Predators allow the 4th most shots to opposing C

Pick #6 – Carter Verhaeghe o2.5 Shots (-108 BS)

• 58% hit rate on o2.5 shots. This shoots up to a 78% hit rate at home
• He averages 3.6 shots per game at home vs 2.5 on the road. He has hit at home in 4/L5
• He hit against Boston earlier in the year, tallying 3 shots

Pick #7 – Rasmus Dahlin o2.5 Shots (-155 BS)

• 72% hit rate for 2.5 shot props. 100% at home.
• He averages more shots per game at home than on the road (4.1 vs 3.1)
• The Blues allow the 4th most shots to opposing D

Pick #8 – Mika Zibanejad o3.5 Shots (-134 BS)

• Mika has a 60% hit rate on o3.5 shot props
• He averages 4.3 shots per game, which is consistent whether he is home or away (4.4 vs 4.2)
• 9 SOG against the Ducks earlier in the year, who allow the most shots against overall and against opposing C

Pick #9 – Winnipeg Jets ML (+135 DK)

• Not thinking too deep into this one. I think the Jet have the better goalie and the better team
• The Wild are also just 3-5-1 at home this season
• I love the plus money on this ML play

Pick #10 – Rangers in Reg (-110 DK)

• The Rangers are 6-3-1 on the road this season
• Ducks are 3-4 at home

I hope you all can find something of value within these picks. I like the idea of using bullet points to dump in information that some people might find useful. I might continue to do it this way rather than paragraphs because it makes it a lot more digestible for the casual viewer.

(Photo Creds – Karl Mondon/Bay Area News Group)

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