After a 1-3 start to the week yesterday (-1.8u), we attempt to right the ship tonight with 8 games on the card. Yesterday could have easily been a winning day, but with a Leafs loss and Rantanen stuck at 2 shots, that just wasn’t going to happen. Tonight we regroup.

I have 3 plays for you all tonight:

Bet #1 – Stamkos/Hamilton o2.5 Shots (+172)

Stamkos averaged 3 shots a game last year, hitting on o2.5 shots 53% of the time. He is currently at a 100% hit rate for this season, so I am riding the hot hand, especially against the Flyers who allow a lot of shots (33.5 per game).

Dougie Hamilton averaged 3.2 shots per game last season and hit on over 2.5 shots 66% of the time. He has hit over 2.5 in both his game so far this season. The Ducks have also allowed an average of 43 shots per game. I expect Hamilton to hit this number quite easily.

Bet #2 – Jack Hughes/DeBrincat o2.5 Shots (+152)

Sticking with the same reasoning for Hughes as I did with Hamilton above. The Ducks have allowed an insane 43 shots per game this season. I believe the desperate Devils will try and take advantage of this at home tonight. Hughes averaged 6 shots per game against the Ducks last season and hit on over 2.5 shots 65% of the time.

As for DeBrincat, I’m hoping for a quick bounce back after getting held at 2 shots vs the Leafs. He had 7 shots in his first game. DeBrincat averaged 4 shots per game against the Bruins last year and hit on over 2.5 shots 68% of the time.

Bet #3 – McDavid o3.5 & Duchene o2.5 Shots (+214)

I fully expect the Sabres/Oilers game to be a high shooting affair. Last season, McDavid hit on o3.5 shots 53% of the time. With his line sitting at -155, I like pairing that with another player in the later games.

Matt Duchene hit on over 2.5 shots 62% of the time last season. He has hit the over in both of the home games so far this year and the Kings have not been too hot defensively, allowing 35 shots per game so far this season.

TLDR – Betting Summary

1. Stamkos/Hamilton o2.5 Shots (+172) 1u
2. Hughes/DeBrincat o2.5 Shots (+152) 1u
3. McDavid o3.5 & Duchene o2.5 Shots (+214) 1u

If we hit on one of these plays, we cut our loses for the day. Two hits, we’re in the green. Three hits, have a fucking day!

(Photo Creds – Jason Franson/CP)

Make sure to follow Drunk Gritty on Twitter and Instagram for Flyers and betting related content all season long! Happy betting!